NCT07352436

Gut Microbiota and Serum Metabolites as Predictors of Glycemic Variability and Outcomes in Diabetic Kidney Disease

Prospective Cohort Study on the Impact of Gut Microbiota and Serum Metabolites on Glycemic Variability and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Diabetic Kidney Disease

• Status: Not Yet Recruiting
• Phase: —
• Study type: Observational
• Enrollment: 270 (estimated)
• Sponsor: Eighth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University · Academic / Other
• Sex: All
• Age: 18 Years – 65 Years
• Healthy volunteers: Not accepted

Summary

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is one of the main complications of diabetes and a leading cause of end-stage kidney disease. Blood glucose variability is closely associated with disease progression in individuals with DKD. Recent evidence suggests that gut bacteria and their circulating metabolites may play important roles in regulating blood glucose variability and clinical outcomes. However, it remains unclear whether gut bacteria and blood metabolites influence DKD progression through effects on blood glucose variability. This study aims to (1) characterize gut bacteria and blood metabolites in individuals with DKD at different stages and levels of disease severity, and evaluate their value in predicting adverse outcomes; (2) assess the relationships among gut bacteria, blood metabolites, and blood glucose variability; and (3) determine whether gut bacteria and blood metabolites affect clinical outcomes by modulating blood glucose variability. A total of 270 individuals with DKD will be enrolled in a prospective observational cohort. The investigators will conduct continuous glucose monitoring and collect stool and blood samples for advanced analyses of gut microbiota and blood metabolites. The objective is to clarify how gut bacteria and circulating metabolites relate to blood glucose variability and disease prognosis, and to develop tools to identify high-risk individuals at an early stage. Ultimately, the findings may provide new insights and strategies to improve clinical care and quality of life for individuals with DKD.

Detailed description

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a major microvascular complication of diabetes and a leading cause of end-stage kidney disease. Blood glucose variability (GV) has been shown to be closely associated with disease progression in individuals with DKD. Recent studies suggest that gut microbiota and their serum metabolites may play important roles in regulating GV and influencing clinical outcomes. However, it remains unclear whether gut microbiota and serum metabolites affect DKD progression through GV. This prospective observational cohort study aims to address three key questions: 1. Characterize gut microbiota and serum metabolites in individuals with DKD at different disease stages and severities, and evaluate their prognostic value for adverse outcomes. 2. Examine the relationships among gut microbiota, serum metabolites, and blood glucose variability. 3. Determine whether gut microbiota and serum metabolites influence clinical outcomes by affecting blood glucose variability. 4. A total of 270 individuals with DKD will be enrolled. The investigators will conduct continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), collect blood and stool samples, and analyze these samples using 16S rRNA high-throughput sequencing and untargeted serum LC-MS. These data will be used to assess GV, characterize gut microbiota and serum metabolites, and develop predictive models for adverse outcomes in DKD. The study aims to clarify the impact of gut microbiota and blood glucose variability on DKD prognosis and to develop tools for early identification of high-risk individuals, ultimately improving disease management and clinical outcomes.

Conditions

• Diabetic Kidney Disease

Timeline

• Start date: 2026-02-01
• Primary completion: 2026-12-30
• Completion: 2029-07-30
• First posted: 2026-01-20
• Last updated: 2026-01-20