Trials / Completed
CompletedNCT07177599
Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)
Global, Regional, and National Burdens of Pancreatic Cancer and Pancreatitis Among Older Adults From 1990 to 2021 With Projections to 2040: A Comprehensive and Comparative Investigation
- Status
- Completed
- Phase
- —
- Study type
- Observational
- Enrollment
- 723,415 (actual)
- Sponsor
- Changhai Hospital · Academic / Other
- Sex
- All
- Age
- 70 Years
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
Summary
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.
Conditions
Interventions
| Type | Name | Description |
|---|---|---|
| BIOLOGICAL | Natural history | Natural history of pancreatic diseases |
Timeline
- Start date
- 1990-01-01
- Primary completion
- 2021-12-31
- Completion
- 2025-09-11
- First posted
- 2025-09-17
- Last updated
- 2025-09-17
Source: ClinicalTrials.gov record NCT07177599. Inclusion in this directory is not an endorsement.