NCT06432283

A Machine Learning-based Estimated Survival Model

Construction and Validation of a Machine Learning-based Estimated Survival Model for Elderly Patients With Advanced Malignancy

• Status: Active Not Recruiting
• Phase: —
• Study type: Observational
• Enrollment: 1,000 (estimated)
• Sponsor: Zhao Siyao · Academic / Other
• Sex: All
• Age: 60 Years
• Healthy volunteers: Not accepted

Summary

Malignant tumors are the leading cause of death in elderly patients, and palliative care can improve the quality of life for elderly advanced cancer patients. One of the main reasons why these patients are not included in palliative care is the lack of accurate estimation of their survival period by patients, family members, and doctors. Both doctors and patients tend to be overly optimistic about the survival period of elderly advanced cancer patients, leading to overtreatment. Therefore, assessing the risk of death for these patients and further establishing a survival period estimation model can improve the accuracy of doctors' clinical predictions of patient survival, facilitate early referral to palliative care, and promote rationalization of medical decision-making.

Detailed description

1. By searching the literature, conducting systematic reviews, and meta-analyses, we aim to uncover the prognostic factors related to death in elderly advanced cancer patients. 2. Based on evidence-based data and considering the clinical conditions of elderly advanced cancer patients in China, we will establish relevant entries for a risk assessment scale for death in elderly advanced cancer patients. By using the Delphi expert consultation evaluation method, we will finalize the assessment scale framework, laying the theoretical foundation for the establishment and validation of a death risk prediction model for elderly advanced cancer patients in China. 3. Develop a survival estimation model for elderly advanced cancer patients; through metabolomics studies and other research methods, we will investigate metabolic biomarkers related to predicting the survival period of elderly advanced cancer patients.

Conditions

• Advanced Solid Tumor

Timeline

• Start date: 2024-05-01
• Primary completion: 2025-12-31
• Completion: 2026-12-31
• First posted: 2024-05-29
• Last updated: 2024-05-29

Locations

1 site across 1 country: China